New England Patriots vs. Oakland Raiders odds: Picks from expert who’s 9-4 on Patriots games

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The 7-2 and 4-5 meet in Mexico City on Sunday. The defending champs are touchdown favorites, up two points from an open of five.

The over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 55, up sharply from an open of 50.

Before you make any bets on a game like this with so much Vegas odds movement, you’ll want to hear what SportsLine Senior Analyst Larry Hartstein has to say.

Hartstein has his finger on the Patriots’ pulse. In fact, he’s 9-4 picking their games since the start of last season.

Part of his success: Hartstein has a vast network of Vegas sources and has been covering the industry as a sportswriter and analyst for two decades. Anyone who has followed his picks is up big.

Hartstein knows the Raiders are especially weak defending passes to running backs and tight ends. Now they face a New England team that’s the best in the league at that.

Patriots running back has broken out the past two games, hauling in 10 catches for almost 100 yards and a touchdown. He has added over 50 yards on the ground.

Quarterback leads the league in passing yards (2,807), is second to in touchdowns (19) and is second to in quarterback rating (108.3). He’s fresh off tossing three touchdowns at Denver.

But just because the Patriots have been hot doesn’t mean they cover a large seven-point spread, especially at an unfamiliar neutral site.

The Raiders are well-rested coming off their bye week and face a Patriots team that played at altitude last week at Mile High. New England stayed on the road ieager to keep hold of Harry Maguire.The defender is being linked with Arsenal and Manchester United.Rodgers said: “Harry is a top-level centre-half, let’s make that clear, there’s no doubt about that.”But there are still areas of his game he can imprn Colorado before heading down to Mexico City.

Oakland has scored at least 27 points in two of its past three games and quarterback has put up at least 300 yards in three straight. Running back finally got going two weeks ago, rumbling for his third and fourth scores of the season.

And the Raiders have played in Mexico City before, defeating the theOle Gunnar Solskjaer has suggested he could go with a two-man central midfield for the Premier League opener against Chelsea.Scott McTominay and Paul Pogba were excellent in midfield for the second game running in Thursday’s 2-1 win over Tottenham Hore last November. They’ll have a distinct advantage knowing exactly what to expect at rowdy Estadio Azteca, which has a seating capacity of 87,000.

Hartstein is leaning toward the over on Sunday, but what about the spread, which he has made his name picking?

He knows there’s a huge x-factor that ultimately determines the point-spread winner for Patriots-Raideelona’s 5-2 rout of Real Betis.The Frenchman scored twice, the second being particularly memorable with a cut inside and curling finish, almost reminiscent of Lionel Messi.”Yes, I saw Leo do it in training and I copied him,” Griezmann said, laughing,rs. And he’s sharing it over at SportsLine.

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